NBA Draft lottery odds 2025: Updated chances, order after Hawks, Mavericks eliminated from Play-In Tournament

Gilbert McGregor

NBA Draft lottery odds 2025: Updated chances, order after Hawks, Mavericks eliminated from Play-In Tournament image

The end of the NBA Play-In Tournament means the field for the NBA Playoffs is set. The elimination of four Play-In Tournament teams also means the order for the upcoming NBA Draft Lottery is set.

This year's NBA Draft Lottery doubles as the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes. While Duke's superstar freshman has yet to officially declare, he is widely expected to be the first overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft.

More than just Flagg, however, the 2025 NBA Draft class is complete with several players expected to make an immediate impact in the league.

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For 12 of the 14 teams that failed to qualify for the playoffs (sorry, Phoenix and Sacramento), the upcoming draft lottery could alter their immediate — and distant — future. Here is a look at the odds for each team to move into the top four of the NBA Draft and to win the No. 1 overall pick.

NBA PLAYOFFS HQ: Live NBA scores | NBA playoff schedule | NBA playoff bracket

NBA Draft Lottery odds 2025

RankTeamTop 4No. 1
1Jazz52.1%14.0%
2Wizards52.1%14.0%
3Hornets52.1%14.0%
4Pelicans48.1%12.5%
576ers42.1%10.5%
6Nets37.2%9.0%
7Raptors31.9%7.5%
8Spurs26.3%6.0%
9Rockets (via PHX)*17.3%3.8%
10Trail Blazers*16.9%3.7%
11Mavericks*8.5%1.8%
12Bulls*8.0%1.7%
13Hawks (via SAC)*3.8%0.8%
14Spurs (via ATL)*3.4%0.7%

Teams that finished with the same record (Rockets/Trail Blazers, Mavericks/Bulls, Kings/Hawks) will split ping-pong balls evenly. A random drawing will determine who gets better draft order position.

Sacramento's pick owed to Atlanta is top-12 protected.

MORE NBA DRAFT: Pre-March Madness Mock Draft | Early entrant tracker

When is the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery?

  • Date: Monday, May 12
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. or 7 p.m. ET

The 2025 NBA Draft Lottery will take place on Monday, May 12, in Chicago.

The lottery takes place on the second day of the NBA Draft Combine, which runs from Sunday, May 11, through Monday, May 19. The first round of the 2025 NBA Draft will be held on Wednesday, June 25.

Gilbert McGregor

Gilbert McGregor first joined The Sporting News in 2018 as a content producer for Global editions of NBA.com. Before covering the game, McGregor played basketball collegiately at Wake Forest, graduating with a Communication degree in 2016. McGregor began covering the NBA during the 2017-18 season and has been on hand for a number of league events.