ATP Finals qualification scenarios: Who can qualify in the Race to Turin?

Kieran Francis

ATP Finals qualification scenarios: Who can qualify in the Race to Turin? image

Eight players are locked in for the season-ending ATP Finals after the injury withdrawal of Novak Djokovic.

The 'Race to Turin' will culminate in the blockbuster event - to be held from November 10-17 in the famous Italian city on indoor hard-court surface.

The Sporting News explains.

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Who has qualified for the ATP Finals?

'Race to Turin' Rankings - ATP Finals

  1. Jannik Sinner (10,330 points)
  2. Alexander Zverev (7.315)
  3. Carlos Alcaraz (6,810)
  4. Daniil Medvedev (4,830)
  5. Taylor Fritz (4,300)
  6. Novak Djokovic (3,910) (withdrawn - injury)
  7. Casper Ruud (3,855)
  8. Alex De Minaur (3,745)
  9. Andrey Rublev (3,720)

Legend: Bold = Qualified

Eight players have qualified for the ATP Finals - Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev, Taylor Fritz, Casper Ruud, Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev.

ATP Finals qualification scenarios

Note: Novak Djokovic withdrew from the ATP Finals with injury, meaning these scenarios were rendered invalid.

Andrey Rublev to qualify

It's a simple equation for the Russian. At the ATP 250 in Metz, he needs to better the final result of De Minaur at the ATP 250 in Belgrade to make up the 25-point deficit.

If he exits Metz at the same stage as De Minaur in Belgrade, the Australian will be guaranteed progression.

Alex de Minaur to qualify

De Minaur - while playing at ATP 250 Belgrade - just needs to match or better the result of Rublev at ATP 250 Metz.

Casper Ruud to qualify

Ruud, who is playing in Metz, will only see his qualification come under threat if both Rublev and De Minaur make the final of their respective tournaments.

Even in this scenario, Ruud still qualifies if he makes a quarter-final, as long as Rublev doesn't win the event in Metz.

Novak Djokovic to qualify

Djokovic's passage to Turin will be locked in as long as a single scenario is avoided.

To miss out, the legend needs Rublev and De Minaur to win their tournaments and Ruud to make the semis.

However, there is also rumours he might pull out of the ATP Finals through injury after missing the Paris Masters.

Kieran Francis

Kieran Francis Photo

Kieran Francis is a senior editor at The Sporting News based in Melbourne, Australia. He started at Sportal.com.au before being a part of the transition to Sporting News in 2015. Just prior to the 2018 World Cup, he was appointed chief editor of Goal.com in Australia. He has now returned to The Sporting News where his passions lay in football, AFL, poker and cricket - when he is not on holiday.