Can MI qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs? Qualification scenarios, points, wins needed and Mumbai Indians' last four chances explained

Mayank Bande

Can MI qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs? Qualification scenarios, points, wins needed and Mumbai Indians' last four chances explained image

[BCCI/Sportzpics]

The Mumbai Indians had a difficult start to their Indian Premier League 2025 campaign, having registered just one win out of their first five matches. However, the five-time champions gradually picked up their form and are now pushing for a play-off spot.

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Following their win over Lucknow Super Giants at Wankhede Stadium, they have now won five games in a row and are sitting in second place on the standings with 12 points.

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With four matches left, The Sporting News tells you how MI can qualify for the playoffs of the IPL 2025

READ MORE: Rohit Sharma's score in today's match for MI

Rules for the play-off qualification in IPL 2025

IPL 2025 features ten teams that are divided into two groups, each comprising five teams.

Each team will play 14 matches. They will face four teams from their own group and one team from the other group twice during the league stage.

However, they will meet the remaining four teams (from the other group) just once during this phase.

Points are awarded as follows: two for a win, one for a no-result, and none for a loss. In case of a tie in points, net run rate serves as the tiebreaker. The top four teams at the end of the league stage will qualify for the playoffs.

Here is how the league position will be decided if two or more teams have the same points:

  • If teams have equal points in the league table, the team with the most wins will be placed higher.
  • If teams have equal points and the same wins, the team with a higher NRR will be placed higher.
  • In case teams have equal points, same wins, and the same NRR, the team with the highest number of wickets will be preferred.
  • If teams have the same wickets as well, their league position will finally be determined by drawing lots.

Can the Mumbai Indians qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs?

The Mumbai Indians now sit in the top 4, despite an early setback in the season.

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MI still have things in their own hands and could even finish in the top-two as well, if they will all their remaining games.

IPL 2025 points table

TeamsMatWonLostTiedNRPtsNRR
Gujarat Titans8620012+1.104
Mumbai Indians10640012+0.889
Delhi Capitals8620012+0.657
Royal Challengers Bengaluru9630012+0.482    
Punjab Kings9530111+0.177
Lucknow Super Giants10550010-0.325
Kolkata Knight Riders935017+0.212
Sunrisers Hyderabad936006-1.103
Rajasthan Royals927004-0.625    
Chennai Super Kings927004-1.302

IPL Qualification trends (Based on past seasons)

  • 16 points (8 wins): Almost guaranteed qualification.
  • 14 points (7 wins): Decent chance but depends on NRR and other results.
  • 12 points (6 wins): Rare. Qualification is only possible in exceptional circumstances.

What is MI's route for qualification to the playoffs?

DateOpponentVenue
May 1Rajasthan RoyalsJaipur
May 6Gujarat TitansMumbai
May 11Punjab KingsDharamsala
May 15Delhi CapitalsMumbai

How can MI qualify for the playoffs? Qualification scenario explained

MI have four matches remaining in the IPL 18 season, with 2 of them scheduled to be played at the Wankhede.

Considering 16 points has been the benchmark for a team to qualify for the playoffs, MI currently needs at least two wins out of two games to qualify.

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With four matches remaining, going on an unbeaten run could give them a strong chance to finish among the top two finish. However, 2 wins might still be enough for them to finish 3rd or 4th, considering their positive net run rate.

MI upcoming fixtures, wins required, and chances of qualification

Upcoming FixturesRR (A), GT (H), PBKS (A), DC (H)
Minimum wins required2 wins out of 4
Chances of qualification85%

Mayank Bande

Mayank Bande is a content producer for The Sporting News’ India edition.