Royal Challengers Bengaluru will lock horns against Chennai Super Kings at the M. Chinnaswamy Stadium on May 3. RCB have seven wins from ten games and are currently at the third position in the points table.
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CSK, on the other hand, have already been knocked out of the tournament after suffering a defeat to Punjab Kings and will now play for pride in what has been their worst season so far.
With the playoffs approaching, RCB are in a strong position and a win could potentially confirm their spot in the top four. Let’s take a look at IPL qualification trends and RCB's chances of qualifying for the playoffs if they win today.
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IPL Qualification trends (Based on past seasons)
- 16 points (8 wins): Almost guaranteed qualification.
- 14 points (7 wins): Decent chance but depends on NRR and other results.
- 12 points (6 wins): Rare. Qualification is only possible in exceptional circumstances.
Where do things stand for RCB before CSK match at Chinnaswamy?
RCB currently sit third in the standings and they have 14 points from ten games. Their away form has been a key factor this season as they have six straight wins outside Bengaluru.
Now, back on home turf today, they have the chance to make it 16 points which is a total that is often good enough to secure a playoff spot as observed in the past IPL seasons.
However, their home record at Chinnaswamy has been poor this season with only one win in four games.
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There is also a possibility that today's match might be interrupted due to rain or even end with no result. If that happens, both sides would get one point each. That would move RCB to 15 points.
In that case, Bengaluru would still need at least one more win in their final three games to qualify without depending on other results.
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Can RCB secure a playoff spot today by beating CSK in Bengaluru?
If RCB wins today, they are very likely to secure a playoff spot with 16 points, given that most teams qualify with 14-16 points historically.
Reaching 16 points this early in the season would also allow them to focus on finishing in the top two.
But if they lose or the match gets washed out, they will have to fight a little longer. With three games left, RCB would still be well placed, but they would like to seal their qualification today.
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