Steph Curry and the Warriors look to take a commanding 3-1 lead over Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and the Rockets on Monday. The game tips off around 10:00 p.m. ET in San Francisco, following the Cavaliers-Heat game.
The Sporting News has you covered with the latest NBA lines, player props and over/under for this pivotal Western Conference clash, with odds from the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Will Golden State extend to the all-powerful 3-1 lead? Or, will Ime Udoka's Rockets bounce back and return to H-Town with the series knotted at 2-2?
Let's get right to the odds for Warriors vs. Rockets at Chase Center, then reveal our final score prediction and full betting advice.
Warriors vs. Rockets: Spread, moneyline, over/under
All odds and props are from BetMGM, an authorized gaming operator of the NBA.
- ATS: Warriors -3.5 (-110) | Rockets +3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors -165 | Rockets +135
- Over/under: O 202.5 (-115) | U 202.5 (-105)
The Rockets have dropped two of three in this series, and they're now 10-9-1 ATS as an away underdog since the start of the season.
Golden State has gone 26-17 at Chase Center this season, but it could be without Jimmy Butler for a second straight game after the veteran small forward hurt his glutes and pelvis on a hard Game 2 fall.
Warriors vs. Rockets best bets and final score prediction
So, you're saying there's a chance!? Jimmy Butler took a serious fall in Game 2, hurting his glutes and pelvis, but it seems like there's a decent chance the clutch veteran suits up this evening. That would be a massive boost for a Golden State team that has clearly already stolen back momentum in this series.
Draymond Green has been living in the heads of Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and company rent-free all series. Steph Curry is doing Steph Curry things, coming off a Game 3 with 36 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. Heck, even Buddy Hield, Brandon Podziemski and Gary Payton II have provided sparks.
The Rockets, meanwhile, have been looking like a franchise of misfit toys. No Houston player exceeded 17 points in Game 3, and only Sengun surpassed 11 in Game 1. Ime Udoka's squad shot just 14-of-24 from the line and turned the ball over 14 times. Jalen Green exploded in Game 2, but he had just seven points in Game 1 and nine in Game 3.
You can't get mad at the Rockets if you're a Houston fan. They might be facing the best seven-seed in NBA history, and that's no hyperbole. Steve Kerr has go-to and clutch scorers, elite perimeter defenders, tons of shooting and plenty of athleticism from his supporting cast. This is a legitimate contender if Butler can get back to full health.
The Rockets have plenty of talent, too, but they're not built to win seven-game series against veteran playoff assassins. They're still young, they don't defend the three-ball well enough, and they're too easily exploitable on both ends of a half-court battle. Look for Golden State to move out to a 3-1 lead this evening.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Warriors 106, Rockets 101 — Golden State wins and covers, while the score goes OVER the projected total of 202.5.
Warriors vs. Rockets top player prop bet
Jimmy Butler, F, Warriors: UNDER 19.5 points (-125) *or* OVER 5.5 assists (-105)
While we expect Butler back, we don't expect him to go totally insane offensively, at least as a scorer. This is by no means a must-win game for Steve Kerr's squad, and it already proved in Game 3 that it can win without Playoff Jimmy, anyway.
If you only play OVER bets, go with his assists OVER at 5.5 (-105). With a banged-up tailbone and pelvis, he's not going to want to bang down low. He will most likely be fine with creating for others and ensuring the Warriors maintain pace and spacing.
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